date:Sep 11, 2012
an unlikely chance of 2013 being an El Nino year, with its record of erasing drought conditions in the Midwest, Taylor said Saturday. If weather patterns respond to neutral or to an early 2013 development of La Nina, it will be likely that U.S. corn yield will fall below the 30-year trend line for a 4th consecutive year.
A failure to replenish subsoil moisture and restore stream and river flows would be a major factor in the probability of a below-trend crop in 2013.